The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia
2019
Аутори
Daničić, Milena M.Zekić, Vladislav
Mirosavljević, Milan
Lalić, Branislava
Putnik-Delić, Marina
Maksimović, Ivana
Dalla Marta, Anna
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
The present study assessed the effect of projected climate change on the sowing time, onset, and duration of flowering, the duration of the growing season, and the grain yield of spring barley in Northern Serbia. An AquaCrop simulation covered two climate model integration periods (2001-2030 and 2071-2100) using a dual-step approach (with and without irrigation). After considering the effect of climate change on barley production, the economic benefit of future supplemental irrigation was assessed. The model was calibrated and validated using observed field data (2006-2014), and the simulation's outcomes for future scenarios were compared to those of the baseline period (1971-2000) that was used for the expected climate analysis. The results showed that the projected features of barley production for the 2001-2030 period did not differ much from current practice in this region. On the contrary, for the 2071-2100 period, barley was expected to be sown earlier, to prolong its vegetation,... and to shorten flowering's duration. Nevertheless, its yield was expected to remain stable. An economic feasibility assessment of irrigation in the future indicated a negative income, which is why spring barley will most likely remain rain-fed under future conditions.
Кључне речи:
AquaCrop / barley / climate change / flowering / growing season / yield / simulation / sowingИзвор:
Atmosphere, 2019, 10, 1, 14-Издавач:
- Basel : MDPI
Финансирање / пројекти:
- SERBian- Austrian-Italian (SAI)partnership FORcing EXCELLence in ecosystem research (EU-H2020-691998)
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10010014
ISSN: 2073-4433
WoS: 000459133000014
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85059559232
Колекције
Институција/група
FiVeRTY - JOUR AU - Daničić, Milena M. AU - Zekić, Vladislav AU - Mirosavljević, Milan AU - Lalić, Branislava AU - Putnik-Delić, Marina AU - Maksimović, Ivana AU - Dalla Marta, Anna PY - 2019 UR - http://fiver.ifvcns.rs/handle/123456789/1936 AB - The present study assessed the effect of projected climate change on the sowing time, onset, and duration of flowering, the duration of the growing season, and the grain yield of spring barley in Northern Serbia. An AquaCrop simulation covered two climate model integration periods (2001-2030 and 2071-2100) using a dual-step approach (with and without irrigation). After considering the effect of climate change on barley production, the economic benefit of future supplemental irrigation was assessed. The model was calibrated and validated using observed field data (2006-2014), and the simulation's outcomes for future scenarios were compared to those of the baseline period (1971-2000) that was used for the expected climate analysis. The results showed that the projected features of barley production for the 2001-2030 period did not differ much from current practice in this region. On the contrary, for the 2071-2100 period, barley was expected to be sown earlier, to prolong its vegetation, and to shorten flowering's duration. Nevertheless, its yield was expected to remain stable. An economic feasibility assessment of irrigation in the future indicated a negative income, which is why spring barley will most likely remain rain-fed under future conditions. PB - Basel : MDPI T2 - Atmosphere T1 - The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia IS - 1 SP - 14 VL - 10 DO - 10.3390/atmos10010014 ER -
@article{ author = "Daničić, Milena M. and Zekić, Vladislav and Mirosavljević, Milan and Lalić, Branislava and Putnik-Delić, Marina and Maksimović, Ivana and Dalla Marta, Anna", year = "2019", abstract = "The present study assessed the effect of projected climate change on the sowing time, onset, and duration of flowering, the duration of the growing season, and the grain yield of spring barley in Northern Serbia. An AquaCrop simulation covered two climate model integration periods (2001-2030 and 2071-2100) using a dual-step approach (with and without irrigation). After considering the effect of climate change on barley production, the economic benefit of future supplemental irrigation was assessed. The model was calibrated and validated using observed field data (2006-2014), and the simulation's outcomes for future scenarios were compared to those of the baseline period (1971-2000) that was used for the expected climate analysis. The results showed that the projected features of barley production for the 2001-2030 period did not differ much from current practice in this region. On the contrary, for the 2071-2100 period, barley was expected to be sown earlier, to prolong its vegetation, and to shorten flowering's duration. Nevertheless, its yield was expected to remain stable. An economic feasibility assessment of irrigation in the future indicated a negative income, which is why spring barley will most likely remain rain-fed under future conditions.", publisher = "Basel : MDPI", journal = "Atmosphere", title = "The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia", number = "1", pages = "14", volume = "10", doi = "10.3390/atmos10010014" }
Daničić, M. M., Zekić, V., Mirosavljević, M., Lalić, B., Putnik-Delić, M., Maksimović, I.,& Dalla Marta, A.. (2019). The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia. in Atmosphere Basel : MDPI., 10(1), 14. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10010014
Daničić MM, Zekić V, Mirosavljević M, Lalić B, Putnik-Delić M, Maksimović I, Dalla Marta A. The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia. in Atmosphere. 2019;10(1):14. doi:10.3390/atmos10010014 .
Daničić, Milena M., Zekić, Vladislav, Mirosavljević, Milan, Lalić, Branislava, Putnik-Delić, Marina, Maksimović, Ivana, Dalla Marta, Anna, "The Response of Spring Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) to Climate Change in Northern Serbia" in Atmosphere, 10, no. 1 (2019):14, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10010014 . .